Written by Barry Murphy
From a political point of view, there have been three very significant days in my 51 years on this planet.
- The day I woke up to hear about the knocking down of the Berlin wall.
- The day that ten central European countries actually joined the EU
- And unfortunately, today.
I have the utmost respect for David Cameron from the point of view that he made the decision to let the people decide, and regardless of what I consider to be an unpleasant outcome, it is a great day for real democracy.
So what is likely to happen next in the medium term?
I think that Northern Ireland and Scotland will vote for individual independence to stay within the EU, but of course it’s very possible the new English prime minister might decide not to acknowledge the outcome of such a vote, and that could cause very serious problems.
Let’s suppose that they do get their independence. Well, that will be the end of Great Britain as we know it, with just England and Wales left, unless Wales decides to go independent as well. England, and possibly Wales, will then have to plough their own furrow, and it will be what it will be. There were people who said during the campaign that there is no going back. I think this is rubbish, and that it’s very possible within ten years that England could return to the EU. Never say never and, for sure, not in politics!
I do sincerely believe that England is in for a very rough ride economically over the coming ten years, but the most important thing now is that whatever happens next, happens peacefully. From the EU’s point of view, we are short €8 billion per year because of Brexit, but that’s no problem to handle, and I hope that all 27 members remain. At times it (the EU) can be a slow organisation with its faults, but for sure the building of bridges is always going to be better than the building of walls in the long run….